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Serious Discussion Discuss What if Bush has been right about Iraq all along? in the Discussions forums; What if Bush has been right about Iraq all along? February 1, 2005 BY MARK BROWN SUN-TIMES COLUMNIST Maybe you're like me and have opposed the Iraq war ...

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What if Bush has been right about Iraq all along? - 02-01-05

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What if Bush has been right about Iraq all along?

February 1, 2005

BY MARK BROWN SUN-TIMES COLUMNIST

Maybe you're like me and have opposed the Iraq war since before the shooting started -- not to the point of joining any peace protests, but at least letting people know where you stood.

You didn't change your mind when our troops swept quickly into Baghdad or when you saw the rabble that celebrated the toppling of the Saddam Hussein statue, figuring that little had been accomplished and that the tough job still lay ahead.

Despite your misgivings, you didn't demand the troops be brought home immediately afterward, believing the United States must at least try to finish what it started to avoid even greater bloodshed. And while you cheered Saddam's capture, you couldn't help but thinking I-told-you-so in the months that followed as the violence continued to spread and the death toll mounted.

By now, you might have even voted against George Bush -- a second time -- to register your disapproval.

But after watching Sunday's election in Iraq and seeing the first clear sign that freedom really may mean something to the Iraqi people, you have to be asking yourself: What if it turns out Bush was right, and we were wrong?

It's hard to swallow, isn't it?

Americans cross own barrier

If you fit the previously stated profile, I know you're fighting the idea, because I am, too. And if you were with the president from the start, I've already got your blood boiling.

For those who've been in the same boat with me, we don't need to concede the point just yet. There's a long way to go. But I think we have to face the possibility.

I won't say that it had never occurred to me previously, but it's never gone through my mind as strongly as when I watched the television coverage from Iraq that showed long lines of people risking their lives by turning out to vote, honest looks of joy on so many of their faces.

Some CNN guest expert was opining Monday that the Iraqi people crossed a psychological barrier by voting and getting a taste of free choice (setting aside the argument that they only did so under orders from their religious leaders).

I think it's possible that some of the American people will have crossed a psychological barrier as well.

Deciding democracy's worth

On the other side of that barrier is a concept some of us have had a hard time swallowing:

Maybe the United States really can establish a peaceable democratic government in Iraq, and if so, that would be worth something.

Would it be worth all the money we've spent? Certainly.

Would it be worth all the lives that have been lost? That's the more difficult question, and while I reserve judgment on that score until such a day arrives, it seems probable that history would answer yes to that as well.

I don't want to get carried away in the moment.

Going to war still sent so many terrible messages to the world.

Most of the obstacles to success in Iraq are all still there, the ones that have always led me to believe that we would eventually be forced to leave the country with our tail tucked between our legs. (I've maintained from the start that if you were impressed by the demonstrations in the streets of Baghdad when we arrived, wait until you see how they celebrate our departure, no matter the circumstances.)

In and of itself, the voting did nothing to end the violence. The forces trying to regain the power they have lost -- and the outside elements supporting them -- will be no less determined to disrupt our efforts and to drive us out.

Somebody still has to find a way to bring the Sunnis into the political process before the next round of elections at year's end. The Iraqi government still must develop the capacity to protect its people.

And there seems every possibility that this could yet end in civil war the day we leave or with Iraq becoming an Islamic state every bit as hostile to our national interests as was Saddam.

Penance could be required

But on Sunday, we caught a glimpse of the flip side. We could finally see signs that a majority of the Iraqi people perceive something to be gained from this brave new world we are forcing on them.

Instead of making the elections a further expression of "Yankee Go Home," their participation gave us hope that all those soldiers haven't died in vain.

Obviously, I'm still curious to see if Bush is willing to allow the Iraqis to install a government that is free to kick us out or to oppose our other foreign policy efforts in the region.

So is the rest of the world.

For now, though, I think we have to cut the president some slack about a timetable for his exit strategy.

If it turns out Bush was right all along, this is going to require some serious penance.

Maybe I'd have to vote Republican in 2008.

http://www.suntimes.com/output/brown...s-brown01.html


Is anyone here thinking about this?
  
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02-01-05

Well, no, because even if he was right about the reasons he came up with AFTER his original one started to falter, the original justification was that Iraq had WMDs and was prepared to use them on other nations. Anything after that was an excuse and a justification. The official search for WMDs was recently ended, to no avail. That was the reason in the first place, and we're still nowhere with it.

Now, am I angry that Iraq is free and everything? No way, I think that's great. However, only time will tell if the elections the other day actually meant anything.


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02-01-05

Not really.
Iraq has been on the verge of Civil War for a while, and with this election there's an even greater chance of it happening.
On top of that, I've already heard nasty rumors that the election voting sites were not shared openly with everyone in Iraq, which of course would demonstrate that they were picking and choosing who voted, and as such were manipulating it as they saw fit.


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02-01-05

Quote:
Originally Posted by thefinalw0rd
Well, no, because even if he was right about the reasons he came up with AFTER his original one started to falter, the original justification was that Iraq had WMDs and was prepared to use them on other nations. Anything after that was an excuse and a justification. The official search for WMDs was recently ended, to no avail. That was the reason in the first place, and we're still nowhere with it.
That was one of the reasons. Bush announced it from the beginning.

President George W. Bush Speaks at AEI's Annual Dinner Posted Friday February 28, 2003

That speech was carried live by all the broadcast networks. I watched it on NBC. The bulk of that speech is about liberating Iraq, and the benefits to us of a free Iqaq. He meant to transform the entire region from the beginning. The only question now is, who is next? I was hoping for Syria, but Iran might have to be next because of the nukes.
  
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02-01-05

Quote:
Originally Posted by John Preston
Not really.
Iraq has been on the verge of Civil War for a while, and with this election there's an even greater chance of it happening.
On top of that, I've already heard nasty rumors that the election voting sites were not shared openly with everyone in Iraq, which of course would demonstrate that they were picking and choosing who voted, and as such were manipulating it as they saw fit.
The turnout was around 70%. That isn't picking and choosing.

We can't get 70% turnout here in America, and nobody is threatening to kill your family. The election, so far, has been an astounding success. I didn't even think it would go this well.
  
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02-02-05

Quote:
Originally Posted by John Preston
I've already heard nasty rumors that the election voting sites were not shared openly with everyone in Iraq, which of course would demonstrate that they were picking and choosing who voted, and as such were manipulating it as they saw fit.
wouldn't surprise me, if you can rig the elections here in America.. it's just as easy anywhere else.

Quote:
Originally Posted by thefinalw0rd
Well, no, because even if he was right about the reasons he came up with AFTER his original one started to falter, the original justification was that Iraq had WMDs and was prepared to use them on other nations. Anything after that was an excuse and a justification. The official search for WMDs was recently ended, to no avail. That was the reason in the first place, and we're still nowhere with it.
I'm with thefinalw0rd on this one... he used that along with post 9/11 fear to just waltz in to Iraq. Plus, who the hell are WE to decide the fate of other nations.. America will eventually pay a hefty price for such arrogance in the future. We're stepping on way too many toes..


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02-02-05

the question is, where is the line drawn between self protection and intervening in the business of others?
  
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02-02-05

Quote:
Originally Posted by Synikul
Is anyone here thinking about this?
I could go into a long "end doesn't justify the means" rant, but I won't.

Yes, I'm surprised that the elections went as well as they did, but this isn't the beginning of freedom in Iraq any more than the end of the war was when Bush said it was over. I still think there is a strong possibility of civil war if our troops are pulled any sooner than five years from now. It's a good sign, now let's see if they can keep going the way they're going without us holding their hand through the next century.

I'm still thinking we'd have been better off helping the Kurds form their own autonomous nation. They're the one group that hasn't been bitching about us being there.


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02-02-05

Quote:
Originally Posted by bluten
wouldn't surprise me, if you can rig the elections here in America.. it's just as easy anywhere else.
Elections aren't rigged in America.

Quote:
I'm with thefinalw0rd on this one... he used that along with post 9/11 fear to just waltz in to Iraq. Plus, who the hell are WE to decide the fate of other nations.. America will eventually pay a hefty price for such arrogance in the future. We're stepping on way too many toes..
We're stepping on toes that need to be stomped on. This is how you defeat terrorism. We can't defend every target in America. It's just impossible. You defeat terrorism by going where the terrorists are, and killing them. That's only half of the solution. The other half is altering their culture so they don't continue to produce terrorists.

The theory is that people who have a say in their own gov't won't turn to suicide attacks to accomplish political change. It might be wrong, but it was worth a try.

Iraq was fisrt because they were already on everyone's shit list. It was the easiest place to start.
  
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02-02-05

Quote:
Originally Posted by surreal
the question is, where is the line drawn between self protection and intervening in the business of others?
In this case we have to do the one thing to accomplish the other thing.

Or we could just nuke the whole region, which wouldn't bother me at all, but it's a good idea to try other approaches like this first.
  
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02-02-05

Quote:
Originally Posted by Synikul
Or we could just nuke the whole region, which wouldn't bother me at all,...
Don't go above ground much?
  
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02-02-05

Quote:
Originally Posted by Shadowborn
Yes, I'm surprised that the elections went as well as they did, but this isn't the beginning of freedom in Iraq any more than the end of the war was when Bush said it was over. I still think there is a strong possibility of civil war if our troops are pulled any sooner than five years from now. It's a good sign, now let's see if they can keep going the way they're going without us holding their hand through the next century.
If it takes five years, then that's how long it takes. The major problem I see is that Muslims have a hard time with the idea of not killing the guy who lives down the street that isn't a Muslim. If the Iraqi people can get used to the idea of leaving other people alone, even if they offend you, then there's hope.

Quote:
I'm still thinking we'd have been better off helping the Kurds form their own autonomous nation. They're the one group that hasn't been bitching about us being there.
The reason we didn't do that is because of Turkey. Turkey is willing to go to war to prevent the formation of an independant Kurdish nation, and they are one of our NATO "allies".
  
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02-07-05

"We accept too damned many things on the explanations of people who could have good reasons for lying.” Frank Herbert

First off, I don't trust anything from any news or political figure because they might have reasons to hid things, and those numbers mean nothing unless I went to Iraq myself and saw people voting of their own free will and not getting killed for having dye on a finger by the enemy. Not all are terrorists, a lot are from there and we succeeded in turning the people that should be helping each other...against one another.
I also think Iraq is a mistake because we did something for them they should have done themselves if he was such a horrible leader, they might now have to depend on us from now on.


"The undeserving maintain power by promoting hysteria.”
  
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02-08-05

Quote:
Iraqis Cite Shift in Attitudes Since Vote

By Doug Struck, Washington Post Foreign Service

BAGHDAD, Feb. 6 -- With a hero who gave his life for the elections, a revived national anthem blaring from car stereos and a greater willingness to help police, the public mood appears to be moving more clearly against the insurgency in Iraq (news - web sites), political and security officials said.

In the week since national elections, police officers and Iraqi National Guardsmen said they have received more tips from the public, resulting in more arrests and greater effectiveness in their efforts to weaken the violent insurgency rocking the country.

None of the officials said they believed the violence was over. An attack Sunday on a police station in Mahawil, 50 miles south of Baghdad, left 22 policemen and National Guardsmen and 14 attackers dead, the Associated Press reported. The incident was a bloody end to a day in which at least nine other Iraqis were reported slain, and a U.S. soldier was killed and two others were wounded north of the capital. Four Egyptian engineers were kidnapped and two insurgent groups issued statements threatening to kill an Italian journalist who was taken hostage on Friday.

But officials in Baghdad said a relative lull in violence in the capital has fueled the sense that something has fundamentally changed since the vote. A change of attitudes in Baghdad could make a crucial difference in the battle against the insurgency, and a buoyed sense of civic pride is already beginning to change the way the public treats the police, authorities say.

"They saw what we did for them in the election by providing safety, and now they understand this is their army and their sons," said Sgt. Haider Abudl Heidi, a National Guardsman wearing a flak jacket at a checkpoint in Baghdad.
.
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Part of that mood change is credited to Abdul Amir, Iraq's newest national hero. On election day, Amir, 30, a policeman in Baghdad, noticed a man walking toward a polling station who appeared to be carrying something heavy under his coat. Amir wrapped his arms around the man and dragged him away from the crowd. A belt of explosives wrapped around the man blew both men to shreds.

Members of Iraq's interim cabinet have touted Amir as a symbol of national pride. Newspapers have been filled with stories about him. A statue is being planned, and the elementary school that served as the polling station where he died may change its name to honor him.

"It's too simple to say what he did was heroic," said Najat Abdul Sattar, the principal of the school, where bright-eyed children study in dim concrete classrooms just yards from where Amir was killed. "What more honor could we give the man?"

"When people saw what he did, they said we will not let those violent people intimidate us, and they went to vote in even greater numbers. Where there were three or four in line, after the blast there were 30 or 40," said Mohammed Hadithi, who lives near the school.

FULL ARTICLE
If this experiment in Iraq works, I might re-evaluate my attitude toward Muslims.

The other thing that comes to mind is what a bunch of pussies American voters are. How many Americans would get back in line to vote after a bomb goes off? We can't get people out to vote if it's raining. I don't give a damn what anyone says anymore about "voter disenfranchisement" in the USA.
  
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02-08-05

As long as this does not become another Vietnam I will be happy.... and I am with whoever said we should have made an Autonomous nation for the Kurds.... because a Shiite run Iraq is going to end up fucking with the Kurds.... which in the end will once again cause a civil war..... if we want democracy in the entire region we would need to change the way every country over there is run...... we can win a war against one or two of those countries... but several of them banded together would spell disaster.....



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02-08-05

Yes, and an autonomous nation for the Palestinians while we are dreaming . . . Like we would ever do something with the region that would even appear to make sense.


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02-09-05

Quote:
Originally Posted by Synikul
If this experiment in Iraq works, I might re-evaluate my attitude toward Muslims.

The other thing that comes to mind is what a bunch of pussies American voters are. How many Americans would get back in line to vote after a bomb goes off? We can't get people out to vote if it's raining. I don't give a damn what anyone says anymore about "voter disenfranchisement" in the USA.

You're right about the people here not voting if a bomb went off. People still worry about getting on a plane here. Although coming from an area where people are willing to kill themselves for a goal...it’s not too surprising.


...Also as long as the new leader doesn't end up being as bad or worse then the last guy...maybe I won't think it was all for nothing.


"The undeserving maintain power by promoting hysteria.”

Last edited by coldandsilent : 02-09-05 at 01:07.
  
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02-09-05

Quote:
Originally Posted by Dyshade
As long as this does not become another Vietnam I will be happy.... and I am with whoever said we should have made an Autonomous nation