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Serious Discussion Discuss does bush really care about america? in the Discussions forums; I have some calculations to do, but I have a series of BLS reports showing job losses vs. job gains, and one can see how they add up....

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03-23-04

I have some calculations to do, but I have a series of BLS reports showing job losses vs. job gains, and one can see how they add up.


Bismarck once said "Fools say they like to learn from their experiences, but I prefer to learn from the experience of others."

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03-23-04

http://data.bls.gov/cgi-bin/surveymost

I'm going to doublecheck a few times, but from 1st quarter of 2001 through 2nd quarter of 2003, there's a job loss discrepancy of 3,965,000.


Bismarck once said "Fools say they like to learn from their experiences, but I prefer to learn from the experience of others."

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03-23-04

I'm going to compare that to Clinton, and try to find data on the last 2 quarters of 2003, and the finished months of 2004.


Bismarck once said "Fools say they like to learn from their experiences, but I prefer to learn from the experience of others."

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03-23-04

Quote:
Originally Posted by SirVLCIV
http://data.bls.gov/cgi-bin/surveymost

I'm going to doublecheck a few times, but from 1st quarter of 2001 through 2nd quarter of 2003, there's a job loss discrepancy of 3,965,000.
This is what I got when I clicked on your link:


Notice
Tuesday, March 23, 2004 129 PM

Sorry, survey does not exist. Please contact the data specialist listed below if you have any questions.



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03-23-04

Damn, need to find the main page again.


Bismarck once said "Fools say they like to learn from their experiences, but I prefer to learn from the experience of others."

"Move that one of your pieces, which is in the worst plight, unless you can satisfy yourself that you can derive immediate advantage by an attack." -Adolph Anderssen


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03-23-04

http://data.bls.gov/cgi-bin/surveymost?bd

click on Gross Job Gains (Seasonally Adjusted) - BDS000000000101LQ
and Gross Job Losses (Seasonally Adjusted) - BDS000000000104LQ

and Retrieve data.


Bismarck once said "Fools say they like to learn from their experiences, but I prefer to learn from the experience of others."

"Move that one of your pieces, which is in the worst plight, unless you can satisfy yourself that you can derive immediate advantage by an attack." -Adolph Anderssen


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03-23-04

Quote:
Originally Posted by SirVLCIV
http://data.bls.gov/cgi-bin/surveymost?bd

click on Gross Job Gains (Seasonally Adjusted) - BDS000000000101LQ
and Gross Job Losses (Seasonally Adjusted) - BDS000000000104LQ

and Retrieve data.

Find number of jobs in 2001 and then now.

It shows more jobs now than when he took over.

Click under : Labor Force Statistics from the Current Population Survey

http://data.bls.gov/cgi-bin/surveymost

Jobs then: 137,990,000

Jobs now: 138,566,000

resulting in a net increase of 1,119,000 jobs!



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Last edited by Lawson : 03-23-04 at 11:30.
  
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03-23-04

What link did you get that report from (the report expired)?


Bismarck once said "Fools say they like to learn from their experiences, but I prefer to learn from the experience of others."

"Move that one of your pieces, which is in the worst plight, unless you can satisfy yourself that you can derive immediate advantage by an attack." -Adolph Anderssen


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03-23-04

Several major changes affect the Current Population Survey (household) data
These include the use of new population controls that reflect Census 2000 results and new information about net migration, the use of new questions about race and Hispanic ethnicity, the introduction of new industry and occupation classifications, improvements in the seasonal adjustment processes, and the annual update of seasonal adjustment factors. For all data series, these changes affect the comparability of the January 2003 estimates with those for earlier months. Additional detail is provided in the release at http://www.bls.gov/cps/cps_notice02a.htm

More detailed information about the revisions is available in the article "Revisions to the Current Population Survey Effective in January 2003 (PDF 133K"



http://www.bls.gov/cps/cps_notice02.htm


Bismarck once said "Fools say they like to learn from their experiences, but I prefer to learn from the experience of others."

"Move that one of your pieces, which is in the worst plight, unless you can satisfy yourself that you can derive immediate advantage by an attack." -Adolph Anderssen


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03-23-04

Quote:
Originally Posted by SirVLCIV
What link did you get that report from (the report expired)?


BLS web site report:

Employment Level - Civilian Labor Force - LNS12000000



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03-23-04

Quote:
Originally Posted by SirVLCIV
Several major changes affect the Current Population Survey (household) data
These include the use of new population controls that reflect Census 2000 results and new information about net migration, the use of new questions about race and Hispanic ethnicity, the introduction of new industry and occupation classifications, improvements in the seasonal adjustment processes, and the annual update of seasonal adjustment factors. For all data series, these changes affect the comparability of the January 2003 estimates with those for earlier months. Additional detail is provided in the release at http://www.bls.gov/cps/cps_notice02a.htm

More detailed information about the revisions is available in the article "Revisions to the Current Population Survey Effective in January 2003 (PDF 133K"



http://www.bls.gov/cps/cps_notice02.htm
The BLS says there are over a million more civilian jobs now than when Bush took over.



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03-23-04

Hmm, also shows a civilian force participation rate going from 67.2% to 65.9% from January 2001 to February 2004.


Bismarck once said "Fools say they like to learn from their experiences, but I prefer to learn from the experience of others."

"Move that one of your pieces, which is in the worst plight, unless you can satisfy yourself that you can derive immediate advantage by an attack." -Adolph Anderssen


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03-23-04

and 8,170,000 unemployed in Feb, 2004 compared to 5,997,000 in Jan, 2001.


Bismarck once said "Fools say they like to learn from their experiences, but I prefer to learn from the experience of others."

"Move that one of your pieces, which is in the worst plight, unless you can satisfy yourself that you can derive immediate advantage by an attack." -Adolph Anderssen


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03-23-04

Seems from the rest of the report that unemployment figures, including part-time, number of unemployed, and even unemployment rate, have gotten steadily worse since January 2001. What links that can mean with Bush tax cuts, recession, etc., I have no clue, but the data IS that the job market has gotten worse.


Bismarck once said "Fools say they like to learn from their experiences, but I prefer to learn from the experience of others."

"Move that one of your pieces, which is in the worst plight, unless you can satisfy yourself that you can derive immediate advantage by an attack." -Adolph Anderssen


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03-23-04

When I looked at that gross jobs gain/gross jobs lost it had a major amount of jobs gained in the later part of Clinton's term, and then a steady drop when Bush took over..

Yet the same thing happened(to a slightly lesser degree) with jobs lost.

Very interesting.


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03-23-04

Further, job openings have gone down by more than 1/3rd since Bush took office.


Bismarck once said "Fools say they like to learn from their experiences, but I prefer to learn from the experience of others."

"Move that one of your pieces, which is in the worst plight, unless you can satisfy yourself that you can derive immediate advantage by an attack." -Adolph Anderssen


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03-23-04

Quote:
Originally Posted by SirVLCIV
Seems from the rest of the report that unemployment figures, including part-time, number of unemployed, and even unemployment rate, have gotten steadily worse since January 2001. What links that can mean with Bush tax cuts, recession, etc., I have no clue, but the data IS that the job market has gotten worse.


No, there are more jobs now than there were before, and unemployment is 5.6%.

Now how can there be more jobs now, if the Democrats claim we have lost 3 million jobs?



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03-23-04

Quote:
Originally Posted by SirVLCIV
Further, job openings have gone down by more than 1/3rd since Bush took office.

But the BLS says there are a million more jobs now. How can this be?



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